Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.021195 0.022818 0.024506 0.026395 0.028451 0.030623 0.033093
2025-12-21 0.018542 0.020880 0.023440 0.026455 0.029920 0.033784 0.038434
2025-12-28 0.016672 0.019406 0.022511 0.026314 0.030863 0.036153 0.042802
2026-01-04 0.015342 0.018339 0.021847 0.026281 0.031766 0.038366 0.046972
2026-01-11 0.014348 0.017544 0.021385 0.026371 0.032721 0.040598 0.051203
2026-01-18 0.013496 0.016835 0.020938 0.026397 0.033529 0.042620 0.055222
2026-01-25 0.012828 0.016293 0.020642 0.026554 0.034467 0.044808 0.059538
2026-02-01 0.012071 0.015579 0.020064 0.026284 0.034787 0.046153 0.062749
2026-02-08 0.011337 0.014846 0.019408 0.025849 0.034831 0.047090 0.065403
2026-02-15 0.010770 0.014300 0.018962 0.025659 0.035174 0.048426 0.068666
2026-02-22 0.010226 0.013753 0.018480 0.025380 0.035358 0.049520 0.071609
2026-03-01 0.009775 0.013306 0.018109 0.025227 0.035697 0.050832 0.074927
2026-03-08 0.009303 0.012826 0.017687 0.025008 0.035969 0.052121 0.078395
2026-03-15 0.008950 0.012497 0.017465 0.025068 0.036660 0.054082 0.083054
2026-03-22 0.008567 0.012105 0.017129 0.024936 0.037041 0.055575 0.087050
2026-03-29 0.008243 0.011782 0.016874 0.024905 0.037566 0.057306 0.091529
2026-04-05 0.007975 0.011527 0.016705 0.024990 0.038266 0.059340 0.096632
2026-04-12 0.007710 0.011262 0.016507 0.025014 0.038861 0.061223 0.101590
2026-04-19 0.007494 0.011062 0.016394 0.025162 0.039657 0.063472 0.107322
2026-04-26 0.007194 0.010718 0.016043 0.024908 0.039768 0.064565 0.111053
2026-05-03 0.006876 0.010334 0.015612 0.024499 0.039593 0.065151 0.113887
2026-05-10 0.006630 0.010052 0.015329 0.024320 0.039794 0.066388 0.117995
2026-05-17 0.006380 0.009753 0.015007 0.024057 0.039832 0.067335 0.121604